Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.177906 0.210919 0.247922 0.292406 0.344372 0.403097 0.474432
2025-06-22 0.129063 0.171375 0.223972 0.293904 0.384166 0.496442 0.646369
2025-06-29 0.099520 0.143975 0.203708 0.289313 0.408235 0.566892 0.793777
2025-07-06 0.079971 0.124289 0.187821 0.284686 0.427603 0.629444 0.934508
2025-07-13 0.069997 0.115702 0.184954 0.296255 0.469048 0.725035 1.130245
2025-07-20 0.064266 0.112197 0.188464 0.316849 0.525232 0.847045 1.377250
2025-07-27 0.058136 0.106793 0.187812 0.330154 0.570828 0.956904 1.616582
2025-08-03 0.050686 0.097784 0.179697 0.329609 0.593122 1.031313 1.806202
2025-08-10 0.042808 0.086632 0.166151 0.317559 0.593863 1.069468 1.938628
2025-08-17 0.035762 0.075822 0.151562 0.301391 0.584846 1.089163 2.040168
2025-08-24 0.031989 0.070756 0.146835 0.302624 0.607064 1.165011 2.247062
2025-08-31 0.027624 0.063753 0.137350 0.293333 0.608120 1.202198 2.386619
2025-09-07 0.025197 0.060700 0.135782 0.300496 0.643751 1.310718 2.677415
2025-09-14 0.022465 0.056540 0.131405 0.301487 0.667616 1.400214 2.943279
2025-09-21 0.019665 0.051701 0.124804 0.296734 0.678869 1.465860 3.168785
2025-09-28 0.017269 0.047374 0.118648 0.291990 0.689332 1.530635 3.398730
2025-10-05 0.016240 0.046275 0.119751 0.303839 0.737473 1.678304 3.815365
2025-10-12 0.015826 0.046700 0.124538 0.324930 0.808865 1.882419 4.371748
2025-10-19 0.015007 0.045887 0.126152 0.338556 0.864523 2.057669 4.882100
2025-10-26 0.013566 0.043071 0.122268 0.337998 0.886429 2.159918 5.240256
2025-11-02 0.011780 0.038906 0.114218 0.325658 0.878100 2.192376 5.443188
2025-11-09 0.010061 0.034595 0.105077 0.309100 0.857070 2.192841 5.571638
2025-11-16 0.009209 0.032807 0.102666 0.310362 0.881782 2.304530 5.973944